Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007241 0.008142 0.009127 0.010286 0.011617 0.013100 0.014885
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005797 0.007013 0.008459 0.010315 0.012653 0.015519 0.019332
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004905 0.006218 0.007867 0.010108 0.013110 0.017038 0.022643
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004431 0.005838 0.007684 0.010318 0.014035 0.019180 0.026987
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003993 0.005432 0.007391 0.010303 0.014600 0.020842 0.030841
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003511 0.004903 0.006857 0.009860 0.014462 0.021427 0.033114
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003221 0.004610 0.006618 0.009805 0.014870 0.022848 0.036861
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003109 0.004561 0.006725 0.010271 0.016123 0.025730 0.043436
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002814 0.004209 0.006334 0.009909 0.015983 0.026289 0.046028
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002583 0.003933 0.006036 0.009660 0.015993 0.027085 0.049141
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002434 0.003775 0.005909 0.009678 0.016457 0.028724 0.054087
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002376 0.003757 0.006005 0.010083 0.017646 0.031827 0.062430
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002213 0.003557 0.005790 0.009935 0.017835 0.033122 0.067394
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002094 0.003425 0.005681 0.009971 0.018382 0.035203 0.074479
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001951 0.003238 0.005460 0.009771 0.018436 0.036276 0.079456
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001882 0.003175 0.005451 0.009973 0.019317 0.039201 0.089355
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001788 0.003060 0.005338 0.009958 0.019746 0.041197 0.097367
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001647 0.002850 0.005033 0.009532 0.019249 0.041045 0.099824
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001566 0.002744 0.004918 0.009480 0.019559 0.042797 0.107710
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001552 0.002762 0.005039 0.009928 0.021040 0.047550 0.124968
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001446 0.002600 0.004795 0.009580 0.020650 0.047648 0.128784
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001360 0.002470 0.004609 0.009340 0.020490 0.048307 0.134444
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001308 0.002403 0.004543 0.009358 0.020950 0.050640 0.145852